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Published equation contexts

P(next adopter=A∣nA,nB)=nA+anA+nB+a+bP(\text{next adopter} = A \mid n_A, n_B) = \frac{n_A + a}{n_A + n_B + a + b}

Why this formula appears here

Graded against biological evolution, several parts of this history are exact rather than merely suggestive. Descent is literal: design documents, safety-case arguments, and component specifications pass from Nautilus to Shippingport to the commercial PWR fleet as physical inheritance, not metaphorical resemblance. Variation across national programs — American, French, Soviet, British, Canadian, Chinese — produced genuinely distinct lineages under geographic and institutional isolation, exactly as allopatric speciation produces distinct populations under geographic separation. Selection by markets, regulators, and accidents is observably real and, in the case of TMI, Chernobyl, and Fukushima,…

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AA

Symbol A

the objectively superior technology, and it can lock in permanently long before the alternative gets a fair trial.

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bb

Symbol b

b occurs below the fraction bar. The quantity above the bar is divided by this expression; zero is excluded as a denominator.

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nA+nB+a+bn_A + n_B + a + b

Denominator: n_A + n_B + a + b

The complete quantity below the fraction bar; it must be nonzero for this division.

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How to interpret it

With a fixed numerator, increasing a nonzero denominator reduces the fraction. Read it with the definitions, units, and assumptions supplied by the article.

Research cited beside this formula

Published contexts (1)

A symbol can carry a different meaning in another article. Each occurrence keeps its own guide and term definitions.

P(next adopter=A∣nA,nB)=nA+anA+nB+a+bP(\text{next adopter} = A \mid n_A, n_B) = \frac{n_A + a}{n_A + n_B + a + b}

Equation 1 · Evolutionary Nuclear Physics

Reactor Phylogenetics: The Family Tree of Fission Power

This equation states an equality: the expressions on both sides have the same value under the article’s assumptions.

Graded against biological evolution, several parts of this history are exact rather than merely suggestive. Descent is literal: design documents, safety-case arguments, and component specifications pass from Nautilus to Shippingport to the commercial PWR fleet as physical inheritance, not metaphorical resemblance. Variation across national programs — American, French, Soviet, British, Canadian, Chinese — produced genuinely distinct lineages under geographic and institutional isolation, exactly as allopatric speciation produces distinct populations under geographic separation. Selection by markets, regulators, and accidents is observably real and, in the case of TMI, Chernobyl, and Fukushima,…

Meanings in this article

  • AA: the objectively superior technology, and it can lock in permanently long before the alternative gets a fair trial.
  • nAn_A: cumulative past adoptions and a.
  • nBn_B: cumulative past adoptions and a.
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