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Equation 7 · Part 5 · AI Datacenter Interconnects in 2035: Scenarios, Signals, and Falsifiable Predictions

superscript

R(2035)=200⋅29/4≈950R(2035) = 200 \cdot 2^{9/4} \approx 950
superscript

What this part means

A raised number can be a power. When it is a label or bound, it selects a case or the upper limit of a sum; the formula’s structure distinguishes these uses.

Its job in the formula

A raised mark can be a power or an index. Its position and the surrounding notation determine which.

The passage around this formula

Anchoring at R0R_0 = 200 Gb/s per lane, t0t_0 = 2026 , and holding the most recently observed four-year doubling period fixed gives R(2035) = 200 ⋅\cdot 2^{9/4} ≈\approx 950 Gb/s per lane by 2035 — essentially a 1 Tb/s single electrical lane. That number is offered to be doubted, not believed. The assumption it encodes — that the doubling period keeps compressing on a fixed clock rather than lengthening as channel loss and signal-to-noise margin close in — is exactly the part the standards process itself is already hedging against: P802.3dj did not simply push PAM-4 harder, it added an 800 Gb/s coherent-signalling option specifically for the reaches where intensity-modulated PAM-4 stops being the…

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An exponent tells how a base is used in multiplication. In x³, x is the base and 3 is the exponent: x³ = x × x × x.

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Sources cited in the surrounding passage

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