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log⁡10(P)=−0.563 log⁡10(V)+3.65\log_{10}(P) = -0.563\,\log_{10}(V) + 3.65

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The cost consequences follow directly from that ceiling. Humbird’s fed-batch process model, built around bioreactors at or below the 20-cubic-meter limit, converges on roughly thirty-seven dollars per kilogram of wet cell mass at the largest realistic production scale he models; a perfusion-based alternative converges on roughly fifty-one dollars per kilogram. At the very largest theoretical volumes he considers, and only by essentially eliminating growth-medium cost — a change he treats as necessary but explicitly insufficient on its own — the model’s absolute floor comes down to approximately sixteen dollars per kilogram. Growth medium, chiefly the amino acids that feed the cells, is the…

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VV

Symbol V

production volume in metric tons per year — a real economy-of-scale effect, but one that only partially offsets the bioreactor ceiling above it.

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log⁡10(P)=−0.563 log⁡10(V)+3.65\log_{10}(P) = -0.563\,\log_{10}(V) + 3.65

Equation 1 · Technological Evolution

The Domestication of Everything: Biotech's Loop, Closed

This equation states an equality: the expressions on both sides have the same value under the article’s assumptions.

The cost consequences follow directly from that ceiling. Humbird’s fed-batch process model, built around bioreactors at or below the 20-cubic-meter limit, converges on roughly thirty-seven dollars per kilogram of wet cell mass at the largest realistic production scale he models; a perfusion-based alternative converges on roughly fifty-one dollars per kilogram. At the very largest theoretical volumes he considers, and only by essentially eliminating growth-medium cost — a change he treats as necessary but explicitly insufficient on its own — the model’s absolute floor comes down to approximately sixteen dollars per kilogram. Growth medium, chiefly the amino acids that feed the cells, is the…

Meanings in this article

  • PP: price in dollars per kilogram.
  • VV: production volume in metric tons per year — a real economy-of-scale effect, but one that only partially offsets the bioreactor ceiling above it.
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