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Equation 7 · Part 2 · The Metabolism of Civilization: Energy to 2100

Symbol R

LR=1−2−bLR = 1 - 2^{-b}
RR

What this part means

R is part of the quantity the equation computes from the expression on the right.

Its job in the formula

R is part of the quantity the equation computes from the expression on the right.

The passage around this formula

where the experience exponent b sets the learning rate LR = 1 - 2^{-b} , the fractional cost drop for every doubling of z . Way et al.'s working version of the same relationship is stated as a stochastic first-difference equation in log-cost against log-experience, with an estimated autocorrelation parameter of 0.19 held fixed across all fifty-plus technologies studied, chosen because fitting it separately for each technology’s comparatively short historical record degraded genuine out-of-sample forecasting accuracy [ 1 ] . The mathematics is unremarkable; what matters for this argument is what it implies about heritability and compounding. A technology with a high, stable learning rate…

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A variable is a named place for a value. Its letter is a local label: x can mean position in one formula and a data point in another.

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Sources cited in the surrounding passage

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