Equation 16 · The Logistics Tail: Sustainment as the Binding Constraint on Organised Force
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The analytical payoff is that culmination is not a surprise that occurs at the front. It is a property of the whole system, computable before departure, and located where the transfer capacity is — not where the fighting is. The judgement that remains is about C , which varies enormously with intensity, and about the reliability of T(r) under attrition and weather. Those are uncertainty ranges, not unknowables.
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