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Equation 29 · Part 3 · The Economics and Physical Limits of Running AI Agents at Scale

Symbol i

E[Cn]≈∑i=1nci1−qi\mathbb{E}[C_n] \approx \sum_{i=1}^{n} \frac{c_i}{1-q_i}
ii

What this part means

i appears in the bound of this sum. The bound states where the repeated operation starts, ends, or which values it includes.

Its job in the formula

i appears in the bound of this sum. The bound states where the repeated operation starts, ends, or which values it includes.

The passage around this formula

If a step fails and is retried with probability qiq_i , independent of other steps, the expected cost of the trajectory becomes E[Cn]≈∑i=1nci1−qi\mathbb{E}[C_n] \approx \sum_{i=1}^{n} \frac{c_i}{1-q_i}. Holding qiq_i = q constant across the trajectory — a simplification, since real failure rates are neither constant nor independent — the expected extra cost from retries is q1−q\frac{q}{1-q}∑i\sum_i cic_i , and because cic_i increases with i , that extra cost is weighted toward the trajectory’s most expensive, latest steps rather than distributed evenly across it. A one-percent per-step retry rate is a rounding error at step five. Applied at step two hundred of an uncached or lightly cached loop, it is a rounding error on a much larger number.

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A variable is a named place for a value. Its letter is a local label: x can mean position in one formula and a data point in another.

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Sources cited in the article section

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