Equation 29 · Part 1 · The Economics and Physical Limits of Running AI Agents at Scale
Symbol E
What this part means
The expected value operator: the probability-weighted average of the quantity inside its brackets.
Its job in the formula
E is part of the quantity the equation computes from the expression on the right.
Full expression→Symbol E→Article meaning
The passage around this formula
If a step fails and is retried with probability , independent of other steps, the expected cost of the trajectory becomes . Holding = q constant across the trajectory — a simplification, since real failure rates are neither constant nor independent — the expected extra cost from retries is , and because increases with i , that extra cost is weighted toward the trajectory’s most expensive, latest steps rather than distributed evenly across it. A one-percent per-step retry rate is a rounding error at step five. Applied at step two hundred of an uncached or lightly cached loop, it is a rounding error on a much larger number.
Learn the underlying idea
Probability assigns a number from 0 to 1 to an event under a stated model. Zero means impossible within that model; one means certain.
Open the illustrated probability: a quantified chance guide →
See this notation across published equations →
Sources cited in the article section
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