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Equation 5 · Open-Weight AI in 2035: Scenarios and Falsifiers

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O(t)O(t)

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OO

Symbol O

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tt

Symbol t

t is a part of this expression. Its role is fixed by the surrounding article and by the operations shown in the formula.

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What the article says around this equation

K(t) stays low however high either term climbs alone. Axis A determines whether O(t) can plausibly clear o∗o^{*} within this article’s horizon; Axis B determines whether W(t) can. Neither can be inferred from the other, which is why they are kept as two axes rather than folded into one — and why a narrowing capability gap sitting beside a licensing and regulatory picture that is still openly split, as documented above, does not yet settle which way the ecosystem’s structure moves.

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