Equation 7 · Part 1 · Model Systems in 2035: Four Scenarios, Their Signals, and What Would Falsify Them
Symbol I^*
What this part means
is a part of this expression. Its role is fixed by the surrounding article and by the operations shown in the formula.
Its job in the formula
is a part of this expression. Its role is fixed by the surrounding article and by the operations shown in the formula.
Full expression→Symbol I^*→Article meaning
The passage around this formula
with and the annual growth factors. When > , grows without bound, and the batch size required to keep the arithmetic units busy grows with it. Autoregressive decoding sits on the wrong side of this: generating one token requires streaming the weights and the accumulated key–value cache, so decode time is bounded below by
Learn the underlying idea
An exponent tells how a base is used in multiplication. In x³, x is the base and 3 is the exponent: x³ = x × x × x.
Open the illustrated exponents: repeated multiplication and powers guide →
See this notation across published equations →
Sources cited in the article section
- [6] Compute Trends Across Three Eras of Machine Learning ↗
- [2] Key Trends and Figures in Machine Learning ↗
- [3] Scaling Laws for Neural Language Models ↗
- [4] Training Compute-Optimal Large Language Models ↗
- [5] Will We Run Out of Data? Limits of LLM Scaling Based on Human-Generated Data ↗
These citations provide research context; check each source for the exact claim it supports.