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Equation 12 · Part 2 · Model Systems in 2035: Four Scenarios, Their Signals, and What Would Falsify Them

superscript

I∗I^{*}
superscript

What this part means

A raised number can be a power. When it is a label or bound, it selects a case or the upper limit of a sum; the formula’s structure distinguishes these uses.

Its job in the formula

A raised mark can be a power or an index. Its position and the surrounding notation determine which.

The passage around this formula

They are only partly independent, and the coupling must be stated. Three linkages matter. First, the two ends of Axis A load the machine differently: large training runs are dense matrix-multiplication workloads with high arithmetic intensity that sit comfortably on the compute-bound side of I∗I^{*} , whereas long deliberation is autoregressive decoding, which is bandwidth-bound. A world that moves toward deliberation therefore makes Axis B bind harder for the same total FLOP , which is why the axes cannot be treated as orthogonal. Second, causation runs backwards too: if bandwidth relief arrives, deliberation becomes cheaper, which pushes Axis A toward the inference end. Third, both ends of…

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Learn the underlying idea

An exponent tells how a base is used in multiplication. In x³, x is the base and 3 is the exponent: x³ = x × x × x.

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Sources cited in the article section

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