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Equation 4 · Part 8 · Mechanistic Interpretability in 2035: Scenarios and Falsifiers

≥

R(t)=1 ⁣[A(t)≥a∗]⋅1 ⁣[S(t)≥s∗]R(t) = \mathbb{1}\!\left[A(t) \ge a^{*}\right] \cdot \mathbb{1}\!\left[S(t) \ge s^{*}\right]
≥

What this part means

Greater than or equal to.

Its job in the formula

Greater than or equal to.

The passage around this formula

Whether interpretability evidence becomes admissible for a safety certification is not a third axis; it is what the other two jointly produce, and the joint requirement is a conjunction rather than an average. Write A(t) for the share of a frontier model’s decision-relevant behaviour with a validated, causally checked account — Circuit Tracing’s own figures are the best public anchor for where A(t) sits today [ 2 ] — and S(t) for the share of published interpretability results built on a method that has cleared an agreed, cross-lab benchmark rather than a proxy metric of the kind SAEBench found unreliable [ 10 ] . A regulator or a court asked to accept mechanistic evidence needs both a…

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An inequality compares values without claiming they are equal. It describes a range, threshold, or bound that a quantity may satisfy.

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Sources cited in the surrounding passage

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