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Equation 12 · Mechanistic Interpretability in 2035: Scenarios and Falsifiers

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S(t)S(t)

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SS

Symbol S

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tt

Symbol t

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Observable indicators. Published coverage figures plateau in roughly the range Circuit Tracing already reports even as benchmark adoption becomes near-universal; safety cases and certifications, where they use interpretability at all, name specific bounded claims rather than model-wide guarantees [ 12 ] ; S(t) clears its threshold while A(t) does not, so R(t) stays zero for broad claims and becomes available only for a narrower, differently defined admissibility condition this article does not formalize.

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