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Equation 3 · Part 1 · Human Evolution Did Not Stop, and Medicine Is Now Steering It

Symbol q_n+1

qn+1=qn(1−sqn)1−sqn2q_{n+1} = \frac{q_n(1 - s q_n)}{1 - s q_n^2}
qn+1q_{n+1}

What this part means

qnq_n+1 is part of the quantity the equation computes from the expression on the right.

Its job in the formula

qnq_n+1 is part of the quantity the equation computes from the expression on the right.

The passage around this formula

…for selection with coefficient s against a fully recessive genotype is: qn+1=qn(1−sqn)1−sqn2q_{n+1} = \frac{q_n(1 - s q_n)}{1 - s q_n^2}. Set s = 1 , the theoretical maximum in which every affected embryo is detected and never implanted: for q = 0.01 , this gives qn+1q_{n+1} = qnq_n/(1+qnq_n) ≈\approx 0.009901 , a reduction of under one-tenth of one percent of the allele’s frequency in a single generation, even at total, universal, perfectly effective screening. The reason the effect is so small is structural, not a modeling artifact: for a rare recessive allele,…

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