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Equation 1 · From Origins to Frontier: A History of Robotics and Embodied AI

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LL

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LL

Symbol L

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The arithmetic behind that result is worth making explicit, because it explains why the next eighteen months mattered more than the raw distance suggests. If a course of length L miles must be driven without a mission-ending error, and a vehicle’s probability of such an error is q per mile and roughly independent from one mile to the next, the probability of finishing the course is approximately

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