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The paper’s own appendix, in a section titled “The Predictability of Serial Position Effects,” comes close to running exactly the kind of test this article is arguing for — and its result is more interesting, and more damaging to any confident reading in either direction, than either the main text or the paper’s abstract lets on. The authors fit a logistic regression predicting which type of serial position effect appears — primacy, recency, middle, or none — from four candidate features: model size in parameters, task accuracy, the rate at which a model’s predicted label changes when the list is reshuffled, and model architecture family, encoded as a set of dummy variables [ 1 ] . This is,…
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Equation 13 · Language Models & Evaluation
Cognitive Bias Was the Label; Attention Sink Is the Suspect
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The paper’s own appendix, in a section titled “The Predictability of Serial Position Effects,” comes close to running exactly the kind of test this article is arguing for — and its result is more interesting, and more damaging to any confident reading in either direction, than either the main text or the paper’s abstract lets on. The authors fit a logistic regression predicting which type of serial position effect appears — primacy, recency, middle, or none — from four candidate features: model size in parameters, task accuracy, the rate at which a model’s predicted label changes when the list is reshuffled, and model architecture family, encoded as a set of dummy variables [ 1 ] . This is,…
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