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g=21/92−1≈0.0076g = 2^{1/92} - 1 \approx 0.0076

Why this formula appears here

Read instead as a constant compounding rate — the assumption implicit whenever a “doubled again” claim is extrapolated forward — the same ninety-two-day doubling implies a daily multiplicative growth rate g solving (1+g)^{92} = 2 , or g=21/92−1≈0.0076g = 2^{1/92} - 1 \approx 0.0076. about 0.76% per day. The two models diverge sharply once projected beyond the period they were actually measured over, and neither xAI’s announcements nor most press coverage specifies which one a given “doubling” claim is meant to imply. That ambiguity is worth naming explicitly rather than silently resolving in whichever direction makes the number more dramatic.

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g=21/92−1≈0.0076,g = 2^{1/92} - 1 \approx 0.0076,

Equation 4 · AI Industry

A Timeline of xAI, Grok, and Colossus

This equation gives an approximation: it relates the quantities while allowing an approximation.

Read instead as a constant compounding rate — the assumption implicit whenever a “doubled again” claim is extrapolated forward — the same ninety-two-day doubling implies a daily multiplicative growth rate g solving (1+g)^{92} = 2 , or g=21/92−1≈0.0076g = 2^{1/92} - 1 \approx 0.0076. about 0.76% per day. The two models diverge sharply once projected beyond the period they were actually measured over, and neither xAI’s announcements nor most press coverage specifies which one a given “doubling” claim is meant to imply. That ambiguity is worth naming explicitly rather than silently resolving in whichever direction makes the number more dramatic.

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