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Published equation contexts

Rno recovery=∏i=1npiR_{\mathrm{no\ recovery}}=\prod_{i=1}^{n}p_i

Why this formula appears here

Suppose a task requires n materially dependent stages. If pip_i is the probability stage i succeeds conditional on all prior required state being correct, then Rno recovery=∏i=1npiR_{\mathrm{no\ recovery}}=\prod_{i=1}^{n}p_i. The equal- p simplification illustrates scale: 0.99^{100}≈\approx0.366 . This is not a model of real coding trajectories—the stages are correlated, checkpoints exist, and some errors are reversible—but it defeats one intuition. “Usually correct” local behavior does not imply dependable long execution.

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Rno recoveryR_{\mathrm{no\ recovery}}

Symbol R_no recovery

RnR_no recovery is part of the quantity the equation computes from the expression on the right.

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ii

Symbol i

i appears in the bound of this product. The bound states where the repeated operation starts, ends, or which values it includes.

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nn

Symbol n

n appears in the bound of this product. The bound states where the repeated operation starts, ends, or which values it includes.

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i=1i=1

Starting index or lower bound: i=1

This label says where the repeated addition, multiplication, or accumulation starts. Read its value or condition together with the article’s description of the index.

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nn

Ending index or upper bound: n

This label says where the repeated addition, multiplication, or accumulation stops. It sets the last term or end of the range.

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Published contexts (1)

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Rno recovery=∏i=1npi.R_{\mathrm{no\ recovery}}=\prod_{i=1}^{n}p_i.

Equation 12 · AI Agents & Systems

Why Coding Agents Fail: Long-Horizon Reliability in OpenAI Codex

This equation states an equality: the expressions on both sides have the same value under the article’s assumptions.

Suppose a task requires n materially dependent stages. If pip_i is the probability stage i succeeds conditional on all prior required state being correct, then Rno recovery=∏i=1npiR_{\mathrm{no\ recovery}}=\prod_{i=1}^{n}p_i. The equal- p simplification illustrates scale: 0.99^{100}≈\approx0.366 . This is not a model of real coding trajectories—the stages are correlated, checkpoints exist, and some errors are reversible—but it defeats one intuition. “Usually correct” local behavior does not imply dependable long execution.

Meanings in this article

  • pip_i: the probability stage i succeeds conditional on all prior required state being correct.
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