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Published equation contexts

Pk=1−(1−α)kP_k = 1-(1-\alpha)^k

Why this formula appears here

The reason this ordering matters is not procedural fussiness. Zhang and Nanda’s systematic study of activation patching found that the choice of corruption distribution and evaluation metric — decisions usually made informally, late, and sometimes after a first look at the data — can by itself change which components a patching sweep identifies as important [ 3 ] . If the metric is chosen after the sweep, on the grounds that it produced the most legible result, the investigation has stopped testing a hypothesis and started constructing one to fit the data. The same failure has a clean statistical description. Sweep enough components at a nominal per-test false-positive rate α\alpha and report…

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Pk=1−(1−α)k,P_k = 1-(1-\alpha)^k,

Equation 3 · AI Research

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This equation states an equality: the expressions on both sides have the same value under the article’s assumptions.

The reason this ordering matters is not procedural fussiness. Zhang and Nanda’s systematic study of activation patching found that the choice of corruption distribution and evaluation metric — decisions usually made informally, late, and sometimes after a first look at the data — can by itself change which components a patching sweep identifies as important [ 3 ] . If the metric is chosen after the sweep, on the grounds that it produced the most legible result, the investigation has stopped testing a hypothesis and started constructing one to fit the data. The same failure has a clean statistical description. Sweep enough components at a nominal per-test false-positive rate α\alpha and report…

Meanings in this article

  • PkP_k: the probability that at least one clears by chance alone across k independently tested components.
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