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Equation 19 · Why Coding Agents Fail: Long-Horizon Reliability in OpenAI Codex

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rir_i

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the probability repair succeeds without creating another material defect. Read the equation part by part below; each part has a contextual explanation and a link to its mathematical background.

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rir_i

Symbol r_i

the probability repair succeeds without creating another material defect.

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subscript

subscript

The lower label selects a particular version, component, or indexed member of the quantity. For example, x₀ and xₜ can be values at different positions.

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What the article says around this equation

An agent can recover only if the system generates a discriminating observation. Let stage i have direct success probability pip_i . If failure occurs, let did_i be the probability it is detected, cic_i the probability the cause is diagnosed correctly, and rir_i the probability repair succeeds without creating another material defect. A simplified effective stage reliability is

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