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Equation 23 · Part 2 · Why Average Success Rate Hides the Failures That Matter Most

Symbol n

qτ≲3nq_\tau \lesssim \frac{3}{n}
nn

What this part means

n occurs below the fraction bar. The quantity above the bar is divided by this expression; zero is excluded as a denominator.

Its job in the formula

n occurs below the fraction bar. The quantity above the bar is divided by this expression; zero is excluded as a denominator.

The passage around this formula

Suppose an evaluation runs n independent trials of a consequential task and observes zero failures above the severity threshold τ\tau . It is tempting to read that as evidence the risk is negligible. It is not, and the size of the gap has a name: the rule of three. If the true failure probability is qτq_\tau , the probability…

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Learn the underlying idea

A variable is a named place for a value. Its letter is a local label: x can mean position in one formula and a data point in another.

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Sources cited in the surrounding passage

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