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Equation 7 · Part 4 · What Claude's Capability Evaluations Actually Measure

=

p(t)=xp(t) = x
=

What this part means

The expressions on both sides represent the same quantity under the stated assumptions.

Its job in the formula

The equals sign connects the complete expression on the left with the complete expression on the right. Both sides must have compatible units.

The passage around this formula

with b > 0 , so predicted success falls as human-equivalent task length grows. The reported time horizon TxT_x at success level x is then the duration at which the fitted curve crosses that threshold, i.e. the t solving p(t) = x . Two things follow directly from this formulation that a single reported number obscures: the curve, not the crossing point, is the actual result, and a different chosen threshold x produces a different headline number from the identical underlying data.

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Learn the underlying idea

An equals sign says that the expression on its left and the expression on its right have the same value under the stated definitions and assumptions.

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Sources cited in the article section

These citations provide research context; check each source for the exact claim it supports.