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Equation 7 · Part 2 · What Claude's Capability Evaluations Actually Measure

Symbol t

p(t)=xp(t) = x
tt

What this part means

t is an argument of the function-like quantity on the left; its role is set by that function’s stated inputs.

Its job in the formula

t is an argument of the function-like quantity on the left; its role is set by that function’s stated inputs.

The passage around this formula

with b > 0 , so predicted success falls as human-equivalent task length grows. The reported time horizon TxT_x at success level x is then the duration at which the fitted curve crosses that threshold, i.e. the t solving p(t) = x . Two things follow directly from this formulation that a single reported number obscures: the curve, not the crossing point, is the actual result, and a different chosen threshold x produces a different headline number from the identical underlying data.

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Learn the underlying idea

A variable is a named place for a value. Its letter is a local label: x can mean position in one formula and a data point in another.

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Sources cited in the article section

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