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Equation 11 · Part 14 · The Unit Economics of a Token

Denominator: 2

Tin(k)=∑j=1k(b+ja)=kb+a k(k+1)2T_{\mathrm{in}}(k) = \sum_{j=1}^{k} \left( b + j a \right) = k b + a \, \frac{k (k+1)}{2}
22

What this part means

The complete quantity below the fraction bar; it must be nonzero for this division.

Its job in the formula

2 occurs below the fraction bar. The quantity above the bar is divided by this expression; zero is excluded as a denominator.

The passage around this formula

The nonlinearity that surprises people does not live in this equation, which is linear. It lives in agent loops. Suppose a loop runs for k steps, each step appends roughly a tokens of tool output and assistant text, and the context started at b tokens. The total input billed across the whole loop is then Tin(k)=∑j=1k(b+ja)=kb+a k(k+1)2T_{\mathrm{in}}(k) = \sum_{j=1}^{k} \left( b + j a \right) = k b + a \, \frac{k (k+1)}{2}. which is quadratic in the number of steps. Doubling the length of an agent trajectory roughly quadruples its input billing. This is why cache hit rate dominates agentic economics: prefix caching converts most of that quadratic term into reads at one tenth the price, and a workload that loses its cache to a time-to-live expiry or an effort change pays the full quadratic […

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Learn the underlying idea

A fraction a/b means a divided by b. The top number is the numerator; the bottom number is the denominator, and it cannot be zero.

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Sources cited in the article section

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