Equation 31 · Forty Million Clicks Through One Uneven Door
What does this equation mean?
Read the formula alongside the article passage below. Each part has a deeper page with its role in the equation, the supporting passage and nearby citations.
This equation gives an approximation: it relates the quantities while allowing an approximation. Read the equation part by part below; each part has a contextual explanation and a link to its mathematical background.
Read it piece by piece
Symbol f
f is a part of this expression. Its role is fixed by the surrounding article and by the operations shown in the formula.
superscript
A raised number can be a power. When it is a label or bound, it selects a case or the upper limit of a sum; the formula’s structure distinguishes these uses.
See an illustrated explanation →How to interpret it
Its accuracy depends on the assumptions and range of use described in the article.
What the article says around this equation
This is a DERIVED quantity, not a measurement: it has not been run against real per-country population totals or the actual SharedResponsesSurvey.csv microdata, and no value of for any real country is claimed here. What can be computed honestly, using only the paper’s own reported extremes for n — 101 respondents at the low end, 448,125 at the high end [ 1 ] — is how small would need to be, at illustrative (not dataset-matched) population scales, to produce a cross-country divergence of = 0.1 , a magnitude in the range visible between clusters in the paper’s own Fig. 3b radar plot. For a nation of order 10^{6} residents sampled at n=101 : f …
Read the full surrounding passage
This is a DERIVED quantity, not a measurement: it has not been run against real per-country population totals or the actual SharedResponsesSurvey.csv microdata, and no value of for any real country is claimed here. What can be computed honestly, using only the paper’s own reported extremes for n — 101 respondents at the low end, 448,125 at the high end [ 1 ] — is how small would need to be, at illustrative (not dataset-matched) population scales, to produce a cross-country divergence of = 0.1 , a magnitude in the range visible between clusters in the paper’s own Fig. 3b radar plot. For a nation of order 10^{6} residents sampled at n=101 : f 1.0110^{-4} , giving 0.002 . For a nation of order 310^{8} residents sampled at n=448{,}125 : f 1.4910^{-3} , giving 0.0077 . Both bounds sit an order of magnitude below the largest within-sample demographic coefficient the paper itself reports (0.091) as too small to worry about. If a correlation on the order of two-thousandths to eight-thousandths between “reaches the Moral Machine” and “holds this particular moral preference” is enough to move a country’s measured position by as much as the clusters differ, the paper’s own demonstration that observed demographics barely move the estimates does not bound the unobserved selection process nearly as tightly as it appears to. Using a more conservative = 0.3 , reflecting that most individual preference indicators are not split near 50/50, raises both bounds by roughly two-thirds — to about 0.003 and 0.013 — without changing the conclusion that the required leak is tiny.
Sources cited in the surrounding passage
These citations give research context. Read each source to check which claims it supports.
Return to Forty Million Clicks Through One Uneven Door