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Equation 12 · Part 3 · The Hardest Unsolved Problems in Open-Weight AI

Symbol s_true

sobs=(1−c) strue+c.s_{\text{obs}} = (1 - c)\, s_{\text{true}} + c.
strues_{\text{true}}

What this part means

the underlying capability the benchmark intends to measure.

Its job in the formula

sts_true is one of the signed contributions combined to compute the quantity on the left.

Where the article explains it

Let sobss_{\text{obs}} be an observed benchmark score, strues_{\text{true}} the underlying capability the benchmark intends to measure, and c the fraction of test instances the model has effectively memorized, whether verbatim or through a rephrased variant.

The passage around this formula

A simple decomposition makes clear why this is a measurement problem and not merely an inconvenience. Let sobss_{\text{obs}} be an observed benchmark score, strues_{\text{true}} the underlying capability the benchmark intends to measure, and c the fraction of test instances the model has effectively memorized, whether verbatim or through a rephrased variant. If a memorized instance is answered correctly with certainty, then approximately [displayed…

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Learn the underlying idea

A subscript is a label attached below a symbol. It often selects a time step, component, category, or member of a sequence.

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Sources cited in the article section

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