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Equation 3 · Part 7 · The Hardest Unsolved Problems in Frontier AI Model Comparisons

addition

s^i,b=gb(θi)+δi,b+εi,b,\hat{s}_{i,b} = g_b(\theta_i) + \delta_{i,b} + \varepsilon_{i,b},
addition

What this part means

Add the term after the plus sign to the term or group before it.

Its job in the formula

Add the term after the plus sign to the term or group before it.

The passage around this formula

The underlying reason none of these approaches resolves the problem is structural. A published score for model i on benchmark b can be decomposed, at least conceptually, as s^i,b=gb(θi)+δi,b+εi,b\hat{s}_{i,b} = g_b(\theta_i) + \delta_{i,b} + \varepsilon_{i,b}. where θi\theta_i is some unobservable underlying ability vector for model i , gbg_b is the mapping from ability to expected score that is specific to benchmark b and not shared across benchmarks, δi,b\delta_{i,b} is a contamination or leakage term specific to that model-benchmark pair, and εi,b\varepsilon_{i,b} is sampling and decoding noise. Because gbg_b differs across benchmarks by construction — a multiple-choice knowledge test and a pairwise human-preference vote are not measuring the same projection of…

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Learn the underlying idea

Addition combines quantities; subtraction measures the signed difference between them. Parentheses show what is combined before the rest of the expression is evaluated.

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Sources cited in the article section

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