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Equation 3 · Part 2 · The Hardest Unsolved Problems in Frontier AI Model Comparisons

Symbol g_b

s^i,b=gb(θi)+δi,b+εi,b,\hat{s}_{i,b} = g_b(\theta_i) + \delta_{i,b} + \varepsilon_{i,b},
gbg_b

What this part means

the mapping from ability to expected score that is specific to benchmark b and not shared across benchmarks.

Its job in the formula

gbg_b is one of the signed contributions combined to compute the quantity on the left.

Where the article explains it

where θi\theta_i is some unobservable underlying ability vector for model i , gbg_b is the mapping from ability to expected score that is specific to benchmark b and not shared across benchmarks, δi,b\delta_{i,b} is a contamination or leakage term specific to that model-benchmark pair, and εi,b\varepsilon_{i,b} is sampling and decoding noise.

The passage around this formula

…the problem is structural. A published score for model i on benchmark b can be decomposed, at least conceptually, as s^i,b=gb(θi)+δi,b+εi,b\hat{s}_{i,b} = g_b(\theta_i) + \delta_{i,b} + \varepsilon_{i,b}. where θi\theta_i is some unobservable underlying ability vector for model i , gbg_b is the mapping from ability to expected score that is specific to benchmark b and not shared across benchmarks, δi,b\delta_{i,b} is a contamination or leakage term specific to that model-benchmark pair, and εi,b\varepsilon_{i,b} is sampling and decoding noise. Because gbg_b differs across benchmarks by…

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Learn the underlying idea

A subscript is a label attached below a symbol. It often selects a time step, component, category, or member of a sequence.

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Sources cited in the article section

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