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Equation 31 · The Economics and Physical Limits of Running AI Agents at Scale

What does this equation mean?

q1−q∑ici\frac{q}{1-q}\sum_i c_i

Read the formula alongside the article passage below. Each part has a deeper page with its role in the equation, the supporting passage and nearby citations.

This mathematical expression combines the displayed quantities; its precise role follows from the surrounding article text. Read the equation part by part below; each part has a contextual explanation and a link to its mathematical background.

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qq

Symbol q

q is a part of this expression. Its role is fixed by the surrounding article and by the operations shown in the formula.

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ii

Symbol i

i appears in the bound of this sum. The bound states where the repeated operation starts, ends, or which values it includes.

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cic_i

Symbol c_i

cic_i is a part of this expression. Its role is fixed by the surrounding article and by the operations shown in the formula.

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fraction

fraction

Divide the expression above the line by the one below it.

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subscript

subscript

The lower label selects a particular version, component, or indexed member of the quantity. For example, x₀ and xₜ can be values at different positions.

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1−q1-q

Denominator: 1-q

The complete quantity below the fraction bar; it must be nonzero for this division.

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ii

Starting index or lower bound: i

This label says where the repeated addition, multiplication, or accumulation starts. Read its value or condition together with the article’s description of the index.

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How to interpret it

With a fixed numerator, increasing a nonzero denominator reduces the fraction.

What the article says around this equation

Holding qiq_i = q constant across the trajectory — a simplification, since real failure rates are neither constant nor independent — the expected extra cost from retries is q1−q\frac{q}{1-q}∑i\sum_i cic_i , and because cic_i increases with i , that extra cost is weighted toward the trajectory’s most expensive, latest steps rather than distributed evenly across it. A one-percent per-step retry rate is a rounding error at step five. Applied at step two hundred of an uncached or lightly cached loop, it is a rounding error on a much larger number.

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