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Equation 10 · Part 12 · Selection Accounting: The Price Equation Runs the Economy

Starting index or lower bound: i

Var⁡(Sel)=σ2∑isi2(zi−zˉ)2,Ne=1HHI\operatorname{Var}(\mathrm{Sel}) = \sigma^2 \sum_i s_i^2 (z_i - \bar z)^2, \qquad N_e = \frac{1}{\mathrm{HHI}}
ii

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This label says where the repeated addition, multiplication, or accumulation starts. Read its value or condition together with the article’s description of the index.

Its job in the formula

i appears in the bound of this sum. The bound states where the repeated operation starts, ends, or which values it includes.

The passage around this formula

Every one of those covariance terms is a realized statistic computed on one historical sample path, and molecular evolution learned the hard way not to trust such statistics without a baseline: Kimura’s neutral theory showed that most measured molecular substitution is drift, not selection, and the field has required a null model ever since before crediting any pattern to adaptation. Proposition 4 supplies the economic equivalent. Assume market shares move by pure noise, uncorrelated with productivity — no firm is being selected for or against — and the expected value of the measured selection term is exactly zero. Its variance is not zero, and it has a closed form: Var⁡(Sel)=σ2∑isi2(zi−zˉ)2,Ne=1HHI\operatorname{Var}(\mathrm{Sel}) = \sigma^2 \sum_i s_i^2 (z_i - \bar z)^2, \qquad N_e = \frac{1}{\mathrm{HHI}}.…

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