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Equation 27 · Part 1 · Measuring AI Agent Reliability: What the Evidence Actually Supports

Symbol k

k^k
kk

What this part means

k is a part of this expression. Its role is fixed by the surrounding article and by the operations shown in the formula.

Its job in the formula

k is a part of this expression. Its role is fixed by the surrounding article and by the operations shown in the formula.

The passage around this formula

A single successful run is evidence that a task is solvable, not evidence that a system solves it reliably, and the statistics that separate the two claims already exist: pass@k for whether at least one of several attempts succeeds, pass ^k for the much stricter question of whether every one of them does, confidence intervals for whether an observed difference is more than noise, time-horizon curves for how reliability changes as a task grows, and a clear accounting of how a number was elicited before it is compared against how a system actually behaves once deployed. None of this is a call for more skepticism in the abstract. It is a call to ask, of any reported agent capability, which of…

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Learn the underlying idea

A variable is a named place for a value. Its letter is a local label: x can mean position in one formula and a data point in another.

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