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Equation 15 · Measuring AI Agent Reliability: What the Evidence Actually Supports

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kk

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the number of samples. Read the equation part by part below; each part has a contextual explanation and a link to its mathematical background.

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kk

Symbol k

the number of samples.

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The two formulas share the same n , c , and k and the same combinatorial machinery, and that similarity is precisely the point: they are estimating two different probabilities from the same data, one about the best of k attempts and one about the consistency of all k of them. A system can score well on the first and badly on the second, and a report that only states pass@k while an agent is actually being deployed to run the same class of task repeatedly, unsupervised, with no way to pick the lucky run, is answering a question nobody was asking.

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