Equation 2 · Mathematics, Proof, and Scientific Computation in 2035: Scenarios, Signals, and Falsifiable Predictions
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On the complexity side, progress has been real but almost entirely incremental and mostly orthogonal to the central P vs NP question itself. The matrix multiplication exponent — the smallest number such that two n n matrices can be multiplied in O() arithmetic operations — sets an upper bound relevant to a huge range of numerical linear algebra, and it has been chipped downward repeatedly. A January 2024 paper identified a previously unrecognized inefficiency in the leading “laser method” approach and used the fix to bring the best known upper bound to approximately 2.371552 [ 5 ] , continuing a sequence of small improvements stretching back decades. No one working on…
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On the complexity side, progress has been real but almost entirely incremental and mostly orthogonal to the central P vs NP question itself. The matrix multiplication exponent — the smallest number such that two n n matrices can be multiplied in O() arithmetic operations — sets an upper bound relevant to a huge range of numerical linear algebra, and it has been chipped downward repeatedly. A January 2024 paper identified a previously unrecognized inefficiency in the leading “laser method” approach and used the fix to bring the best known upper bound to approximately 2.371552 [ 5 ] , continuing a sequence of small improvements stretching back decades. No one working on this expects it to resolve whether = 2 , which remains open, and it says nothing directly about P vs NP. Scott Aaronson’s standard survey of the P vs NP problem for a general scientific audience lays out why: the strongest available techniques, including circuit lower bounds and relativization results, are understood to be insufficient in principle to settle the question, which is itself among the most important things known about the problem — that most of what mathematicians have tried provably cannot work [ 8 ] .
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