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Equation 10 · How Benchmark Contamination Actually Works in Agentic Evaluation

What does this equation mean?

passk≈pk\text{pass}^k \approx p^k

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This equation gives an approximation: it relates the quantities while allowing an approximation. Read the equation part by part below; each part has a contextual explanation and a link to its mathematical background.

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kk

Symbol k

k is a part of this expression. Its role is fixed by the surrounding article and by the operations shown in the formula.

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pkp^k

Symbol p^k

pkp^k is a part of this expression. Its role is fixed by the surrounding article and by the operations shown in the formula.

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≈

≈

Approximately equal to; the equality is not exact.

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superscript

superscript

A raised number can be a power. When it is a label or bound, it selects a case or the upper limit of a sum; the formula’s structure distinguishes these uses.

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How to interpret it

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What the article says around this equation

averaged over tasks to produce the benchmark’s headline number. The metric is designed to punish an agent whose competence is real but inconsistent across resampled trials — a stochastic policy with true per-trial success probability p has passk\text{pass}^k ≈\approx pkp^k , which falls quickly as k grows. But a policy whose output on a given task is deterministic — an empty response, always, regardless of sampling — produces the identical transcript on every trial, so

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