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Equation 1 · Part 9 · From n-Grams to Reasoning Models: A Technical History of the Language Model

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P(w1,w2,…,wT)=∏t=1TP(wt∣w1,…,wt−1).P(w_1, w_2, \ldots, w_T) = \prod_{t=1}^{T} P(w_t \mid w_1, \ldots, w_{t-1}).
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What this part means

The expressions on both sides represent the same quantity under the stated assumptions.

Its job in the formula

The equals sign connects the complete expression on the left with the complete expression on the right. Both sides must have compatible units.

The passage around this formula

First, the object of study became prediction . A model of language is a probability assignment over what comes next. The chain rule makes this exact for any sequence of tokens: P(w1,w2,…,wT)=∏t=1TP(wt∣w1,…,wt−1)P(w_1, w_2, \ldots, w_T) = \prod_{t=1}^{T} P(w_t \mid w_1, \ldots, w_{t-1}). Second, quality became measurable without a task . Cross-entropy on held-out text is a number, and a lower number is unambiguously better. That gave the field a scalar to descend for the next seventy years, long before anyone knew what descending it would buy. Brown and colleagues later made the benchmark concrete, estimating an upper bound of 1.75 bits per character for English from a word trigram model measured against a balanced sample, and proposing a common corpus as a standard against which…

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Learn the underlying idea

An equals sign says that the expression on its left and the expression on its right have the same value under the stated definitions and assumptions.

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Sources cited in the surrounding passage

These citations provide research context; check each source for the exact claim it supports.