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Equation 6 · Part 2 · Ecological Rationality: When Biases Are Adaptations

Symbol D

P(D∣H)P(D∣¬H)  >  P(¬H)P(H)⋅cfacmiss\frac{P(D \mid H)}{P(D \mid \lnot H)} \; > \; \frac{P(\lnot H)}{P(H)} \cdot \frac{c_{fa}}{c_{miss}}
DD

What this part means

D is a part of this expression. Its role is fixed by the surrounding article and by the operations shown in the formula.

Its job in the formula

D is a part of this expression. Its role is fixed by the surrounding article and by the operations shown in the formula.

The passage around this formula

This is a rule about optimal thresholds, not merely an intuition, and it has a compact formal statement. A decision-maker observes ambiguous evidence D bearing on whether a state H holds — a predator is present, a partner is unfaithful, an approach signals romantic interest — against the alternative that it does not. Where cfac_{fa} is the fitness cost of a false alarm and cmissc_{miss} is the fitness cost of a miss, the threshold that minimizes total…

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