Symbol H

The passage around this formula

This is a rule about optimal thresholds, not merely an intuition, and it has a compact formal statement. A decision-maker observes ambiguous evidence D bearing on whether a state H holds — a predator is present, a partner is unfaithful, an approach signals romantic interest — against the alternative that it does not. Where $c_{fa}$ is the fitness cost of a false alarm and $c_{miss}$ is the fitness cost of a miss, the threshold that minimizes total expected fitness cost is to infer H whenever:

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