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Equation 2 · Demography, Migration, and Urban Futures in Practice: An Advanced Technical Guide

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ss

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ss

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Aging the cohort forward. For each one-year (or five-year) step, every age-sex cohort is advanced by applying an age-specific survival ratio — the probability of surviving from one age to the next, derived from a life table built out of registered deaths and mortality schedules — and then subtracting deaths and adding net migrants assigned to that same age and sex [ 1 ] . Symbolically, for a cohort of age a and sex s in year t :

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