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Equation 10 · Comparing Frontier Model Pricing Without Comparing Apples to Oranges

What does this equation mean?

Ci  =  κi[(1−hi) piin+hi piin γi]  +  ρi piout.C_i \;=\; \kappa_i\Big[(1-h_i)\,p^{\text{in}}_i + h_i\, p^{\text{in}}_i\,\gamma_i\Big] \;+\; \rho_i\, p^{\text{out}}_i .

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This equation states an equality: the expressions on both sides have the same value under the article’s assumptions. Read the equation part by part below; each part has a contextual explanation and a link to its mathematical background.

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CiC_i

Symbol C_i

CiC_i is part of the quantity the equation computes from the expression on the right.

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κi\kappa_i

Symbol kappa_i

kappaia_i is one of the signed contributions combined to compute the quantity on the left.

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hih_i

Symbol h_i

the fraction of input served from cache and γi\gamma_i the cache-read multiplier.

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piinp^{\text{in}}_i

Symbol p^in_i

the reading.

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γi\gamma_i

Symbol gamma_i

the cache-read multiplier.

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ρi\rho_i

Symbol rho_i

all equal to each other and to 1 across every vendor in the comparison.

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pioutp^{\text{out}}_i

Symbol p^out_i

pop^outit_i is one of the signed contributions combined to compute the quantity on the left.

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=

=

The expressions on both sides represent the same quantity under the stated assumptions.

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addition

addition

Add the term after the plus sign to the term or group before it.

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subscript

subscript

The lower label selects a particular version, component, or indexed member of the quantity. For example, x₀ and xₜ can be values at different positions.

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superscript

superscript

A raised number can be a power. When it is a label or bound, it selects a case or the upper limit of a sum; the formula’s structure distinguishes these uses.

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How to interpret it

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What the article says around this equation

Collecting every distinction above into one expression makes explicit what a bare price comparison assumes without saying so. For vendor i , let piinp^{\text{in}}_i and pioutp^{\text{out}}_i be the published input and output rates; let κi\kappa_i be a tokenizer expansion factor, the number of tokens vendor i ’s own tokenizer needs to encode one fixed reference passage, normalised so κi\kappa_i = 1 for whichever vendor is used as the baseline; let hih_i be the fraction of input served from cache and γi\gamma_i the cache-read multiplier; and let ρi\rho_i be the ratio of total output tokens generated, visible answer plus hidden reasoning, to the visible answer alone. A workload’s realised cost per completed task…
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Collecting every distinction above into one expression makes explicit what a bare price comparison assumes without saying so. For vendor i , let piinp^{\text{in}}_i and pioutp^{\text{out}}_i be the published input and output rates; let κi\kappa_i be a tokenizer expansion factor, the number of tokens vendor i ’s own tokenizer needs to encode one fixed reference passage, normalised so κi\kappa_i = 1 for whichever vendor is used as the baseline; let hih_i be the fraction of input served from cache and γi\gamma_i the cache-read multiplier; and let ρi\rho_i be the ratio of total output tokens generated, visible answer plus hidden reasoning, to the visible answer alone. A workload’s realised cost per completed task is then approximately Ci  =  κi[(1−hi) piin+hi piin γi]  +  ρi pioutC_i \;=\; \kappa_i\Big[(1-h_i)\,p^{\text{in}}_i + h_i\, p^{\text{in}}_i\,\gamma_i\Big] \;+\; \rho_i\, p^{\text{out}}_i . Reading piinp^{\text{in}}_i and pioutp^{\text{out}}_i off a rate card and comparing them directly across vendors is equivalent to assuming κi\kappa_i , γi\gamma_i , and ρi\rho_i are all equal to each other and to 1 across every vendor in the comparison. This article has just shown that one of those three, γi\gamma_i , genuinely does converge close to 0.1 across all three companies’ published cards — the one term a naive comparison happens to get right by accident. The other two do not converge, are not published as clean multipliers by any vendor, and vary by content type and by task in ways that only measurement on the caller’s own workload can pin down. A price comparison that reports piinp^{\text{in}}_i and pioutp^{\text{out}}_i alone has silently set κi\kappa_i = ρi\rho_i = 1 for every vendor, an assumption none of the sourcing above supports.

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