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Equation 22 · Part 2 · AI Datacenter Systems Engineering in 2035: Scenarios, Signals, and Falsifiable Predictions

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MTTFfleet≈MTTFdevice/N\mathrm{MTTF}_{\mathrm{fleet}} \approx \mathrm{MTTF}_{\mathrm{device}}/N
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What this part means

Approximately equal to; the equality is not exact.

Its job in the formula

Approximately equal to; the equality is not exact.

The passage around this formula

One thing holds regardless of which cell the industry lands in: the independence assumption behind MTTFfleet\mathrm{MTTF}_{\mathrm{fleet}} ≈\approx MTTFdevice\mathrm{MTTF}_{\mathrm{device}}/N keeps breaking as fleets grow, whether the response is better synchronous engineering or a move away from synchrony altogether. Correlated failure — a bad manufacturing lot, a shared dependency, a batch of units commissioned and aging together — is documented independently by Meta’s silent-data-corruption study [ 12 ] and implicit in the taxonomy of failure types in Meta’s reliability study [ 3 ] . That pressure exists in every scenario above, which is why fault-domain design — structuring which units share which…

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A variable is a named place for a value. Its letter is a local label: x can mean position in one formula and a data point in another.

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Sources cited in the surrounding passage

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