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Equation 18 · AI Datacenter Systems Engineering in 2035: Scenarios, Signals, and Falsifiable Predictions

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TT

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TT

Symbol T

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​ this simple model predicts. That gap is informative rather than a contradiction: it is consistent with operators holding a fixed acceptable progress-loss percentage (MLPerf specifies 5%) rather than freely re-optimizing T against τ\tau and λ\lambda jointly, and with τ\tau itself growing as checkpoints get larger at larger scale — both push the real interval down faster than a pure failure-rate argument would. None of the cited sources explains that gap directly; this derivation is offered to sharpen the open question, not to answer it.

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