Equation 2 · AI Alignment and Safety in 2035: Two Axes, Four Scenarios, and What Would Falsify Them
What does this equation mean?
Read the formula alongside the article passage below. Each part has a deeper page with its role in the equation, the supporting passage and nearby citations.
This mathematical expression combines the displayed quantities; its precise role follows from the surrounding article text. Read the equation part by part below; each part has a contextual explanation and a link to its mathematical background.
Read it piece by piece
Symbol t
t is a part of this expression. Its role is fixed by the surrounding article and by the operations shown in the formula.
How to interpret it
Read this expression with the definitions, units, and assumptions supplied by the article.
What the article says around this equation
Whether the documented gap between capability and verified safety narrows or widens is not a third axis; it is what the other two jointly produce. Write C(t) for a stylised index of frontier capability — METR’s time-horizon trend is the best-measured available proxy [ 16 ] — and V(t) for an index of independently checkable verification coverage: the share of a system’s decision-relevant behaviour that something other than watching its output can vouch for. The gap is
Sources cited in the surrounding passage
These citations give research context. Read each source to check which claims it supports.
Return to AI Alignment and Safety in 2035: Two Axes, Four Scenarios, and What Would Falsify Them