Equation 10 · Agentic Coding Tools in 2035: Four Scenarios, Their Signals, and What Would Falsify Them
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Evidence formats extend today’s protocol-level convergence — MCP for tool calls, SLSA-style attestations for provenance, an SSDF-derived vocabulary for what was checked — into something that also standardizes what counts as sufficient evidence to merge without a human re-check [ 5 , 15 , 14 ] . A change vetted under one tool’s policy carries a portable record a different tool or organization can act on directly. Review capacity effectively pools across the industry instead of being rebuilt separately by every team, which is what keeps rising in step with even as agent fleets scale. The developer’s role shifts furthest in this world: closer to the 20-percent execution share Claude…
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Evidence formats extend today’s protocol-level convergence — MCP for tool calls, SLSA-style attestations for provenance, an SSDF-derived vocabulary for what was checked — into something that also standardizes what counts as sufficient evidence to merge without a human re-check [ 5 , 15 , 14 ] . A change vetted under one tool’s policy carries a portable record a different tool or organization can act on directly. Review capacity effectively pools across the industry instead of being rebuilt separately by every team, which is what keeps rising in step with even as agent fleets scale. The developer’s role shifts furthest in this world: closer to the 20-percent execution share Claude Code’s usage study already measures than to the 70-percent planning share [ 4 ] , with most attention spent auditing evidence bundles rather than reading diffs line by line.
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