#regulatory fragmentation

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Two conformity certificates from different jurisdictions on a coordination-office desk, a mechanical cross-recognition press caught lowered a hair's width above the second certificate, with a crosswalk pinboard of linked clause cards behind

AI Governance and Regulation in 2035: Scenarios, Signals, and Falsifiable Predictions

Four named scenarios for where AI governance plausibly stands by 2035 — regulatory convergence, fragmented blocs, enforcement maturity, and governance obsolescence — each with stated assumptions, named indicators, and an explicit disconfirmation condition.

By Brecht Corbeel · October 1, 2026 · 20 min read

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